OWZ events
Storm or disturbance event tracks used to define seed points and temporal windows.
Climate AI
Interpretable representation learning for tropical cyclone genesis.
Learning from spatio-temporal meteorological tensors before cyclone formation, with a focus on what separates developing and non-developing systems.
Problem
Genesis is a rare transition, not just a label.
Tropical cyclone genesis involves complex environmental and dynamical changes. A useful model should not only predict whether a disturbance develops, but also help reveal the latent structure that separates developing systems from non-developing ones.
The research goal is to build representations of pre-genesis meteorological tensors and inspect how latent directions correspond to intensification, organisation, moisture, circulation, or other physically meaningful patterns.
Data
Spatio-temporal meteorological tensors.
ERA5 fields
Reanalysis variables extracted around event-centred spatial windows.
Humidity, temperature, wind
Multi-level atmospheric channels across standard pressure levels.
T × C × H × W
Temporal movie-like input for MixtureBetaVAE3D-style modelling.
Pipeline
From OWZ event to pre-genesis tensor.
OWZ Event
→
Seed Point
→
ERA5 Match
→
Tensor Window
→
Latent Trajectory
Tensor concept
A compact view of the atmospheric movie.
t - 5
t - 4
t - 3
t - 2
t - 1
Placeholder note:
Later this section can show real humidity, temperature, and wind fields as animated GIFs or interactive frames.
Scientific questions
What should the model help us ask?
What separates developing systems?
Latent structure may reveal environmental patterns associated with genesis.
When does organisation become visible?
Temporal latent trajectories can show whether development signals emerge before declaration.
Can counterfactuals remain physical?
Generated fields should preserve meteorological plausibility while varying relevant factors.
Next
See the project implementation side.
The projects page includes a placeholder for the tropical cyclone tensor builder and HPC workflow.
View projects